CCMC CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2025-09-28T09:00:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2025-09-28T09:00ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/41455/-1
CME Note: Somewhat asymmetrical CME directed eastward in all 3 coronagraphs (SOHO LASCO C2/C3, STEREO A COR2 and GOES CCOR-1). It has a clear follow-up front, best seen in CCOR-1. Its source is likely the impulsive M6.4 flare from AR 14232 (N03E59) seen in GOES-Secondary X-ray flux timeline (eclipsed in GOES-Primary) and with the associated significant fan-like filament/prominence eruption seen off/behind the SE limb in STEREO A EUV 304 and close to the limb in GOES SUVI 304 starting at 2025-09-28T08:45Z. There is also a minor brightening and a very minor opening of field lines near the E limb in GOES SUVI 195.
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
----
Predicted Arrival Time: 2025-10-01T00:00Z
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 3.0 - 5.0
Prediction Method: Average of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:
This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CMELead Time: 51.90 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2025-09-28T20:06Z
CCMC
Rules of the Road: CCMC requests that users notify the CCMC, CME
model/technique developers and submitting forecasters/researchers before
performing event and validation studies with data from the CME Arrival
Time Scoreboard. It is recommended that such studies be performed with
the knowledge and collaboration of developers and submitting
forecasters/researchers.
If you are looking for the official U.S. Government forecast for space weather, please go to NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center (https://swpc.noaa.gov). This "Experimental Research Information" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.
Curator: Chiu Wiegand | NASA Official: Dr. Masha Kuznetsova | Privacy and Security Notices | Accessibility | CCMC Data Policy